November 1, 2009 – Osaka, Japan
Today, Nikkei, Japan’s leading newspaper specialized in economy/business and politics, reported that in general financial performance of Japanese listed companies has been continuously improving for two consecutive quarters. Nikkei analyzed financial performance of listed companies for July-September 2009, and the result was that the total consolidated profit was 2.3 times that of April-June 2009, meaning improvement for two consecutive quarters. The improvement is because of rationalization/cost reduction efforts especially of manufacturers and termination of sales drop attributing to economy-boosting measures* by the government of respective countries. Having said that, whether the performance improvement continues is a question because the positive effect of government policies has taken a round and the high yen still continues.
Consolidated Profits of Major Companies (100 million yen)
Source: Nikkei (translated by the author)
Company Name / July-September / April-June
Increase in Black Companies
Honda / 661 / 54
Mitsubishi Corporation / 831 / 619
Komatsu / 97 / 87
Returning to Black Companies
Panasonic / 253 / -517
JFE / 98 / -672
Mitsui OSK Lines / 14 / -114
Decrease in Red Companies
Hitachi / -293 / -808
Nippon Steel / -302 / -556
Sony / -170 / -329
Deterioration in Performance Companies
Nintendo / 457 / 648
Japan Tabacco / 563 / 788
Kawasaki Kinsen / -271 / -227
Notes: EBIT (Earnings before Income Tax) for companies using GAAP, profit in Japan auditing principle for others
Nikkei reports that the data used for analysis is of 527 companies that have finished making financial announcement for 2009 Q3 by October 30, 2009 (excluding financial institutions). These companies cover 63% of total market value industry-wide.
Their performance was negatively impacted by the worldwide economic crisis and went to red January-March. It went back to black in total April-June (97.49 million yen in black) with rationalization but manufacturers remained in red in total by 25.47 billion yen. And for July-September their performance in total was in black by 2.2021 trillion yen, and manufacturers in total also returned to black after three quarters by 81.58 billion yen. 68% of companies have improved from April-June.
Increase in sales was the driver for performance improvement. Consolidated sales for July-September increased by 10% from April-June, marking the first sales increase of a quarter (vs. previous quarter) after four quarters. Revenue of manufacturing companies increased by 12% from the previous quarter.
Favourable Japan domestic market sales also contributed to performance improvement. This was driven by economy-boosting measures designed to promote consumer purchase of environmentally-friendly products. Honda increased its sales by 3% and Mazuda by 31% from previous quarter with the economy-boosting measures, leading to favourable sales of fuel-efficient cars benefiting from tax reduction of eco-friendly cars (eco = ecology & economy). Panasonic also benefited from economy-boosting measures and its domestic sales/revenue of TV and washing machine increased by 9%. Steel giants that supply materials including Nippon Steel and other three companies increased their sales/revenue.
Aggressive demand of China and other emerging countries also contributed to performance improvement. LCD sales of Sharp for July-September were 22.23 billion yen which was 26% increase from the previous quarter. This highly attributes to Chinese government’s measures designed to promote penetration of consumer electronics in which 13% cash back is given as subsidy to consumers who purchase consumer electronics.
Further rationalization efforts by manufacturers also greatly contributed to performance improvement. Fujitsu reduced cost by 40 billion yen which led to returning to black for July-September. Toshiba originally planned to cut fixed cost by 67 billion yen but increased the amount of fixed cost cut to 200 billion yen for April-September.
Although the performance has been improving, performance for 2009 for total industry is still at low level compared with previous year of 2008 and there are still concerns; therefore, the outlook is not necessarily bright. 2009 sales is 23% and profit is 42% of 2008. Demand recovery of developed countries is still ongoing, and Sony’s CFO comments that Christmas season also needs to be promoted with cautiousness. Senescence of economy-boosting measures and high yen are also concerns. Since incentives of respective countries designed to promote buying new cars to replace old ones is to end soon, it is quite possible that there comes a “rebound” after April 2010, as Honda’s VP comments. Three ship giants including NYK Logistics made downward revision of their performance outlook for fiscal year ending March 2010, but they may need to further make downward revision because of high yen.
*Brief Explanation on Economy-Boosting Measures
(source: Nikkei, edited and translated by the author)
This is policies by the government including financial policy with the objectives of stabilizing economic situation. With worldwide economic crisis, government of respective countries one after another adopted policies to stimulate consumer spending, leading to economic recovery. In Japan, incentives to promote consumers purchasing environmentally-friendly products were given for 2009 (due to end March 2010). Tax reduction and subsidies were given for consumers buying eco-friendly cars. Also in Japan, eco-point system in which points achieved by purchasing energy-saving consumer electronics can be changed with local specialty products. In the U.S, subsidy for buying fuel-efficient cars to replace old ones was provided (ended August 2009). Germany also adopted the same incentive (ended September 2009). And China adopted a tax incentive measure for consumers buying small cars (due until end of 2009) and a subsidy incentive for consumers buying consumer electronics (due until 2012).